Ahmad Bradshaw, Brandon Jacobs, Danny Ware, and ADP
Wednesday, July 29th, 2009Ahmad Bradshaw is the steal of the 2009 PPR fantasy draft. Last year Jacobs finished 18th overall in PPR, with 207.5 points. Right behind him at 19th was his backfield cohort, Derrick Ward, finishing with 193.9 fantasy points. This year Ahmad Bradshaw steps into Ward’s change of pace role. I’m predicting a breakout season for Bradshaw and a top 25 RB finish, with close to 1000 yards rushing and 40-50 receptions. Remember Bradshaw’s breakaway speed from the 2007 playoffs? I look forward to seeing that again this year as he breaks 4 or 5 long TD runs.
Ahmad Bradshaw’s ADP is early 9th round. Brandon Jacobs ADP is early 2nd round. This is ADP for non PPR leagues, but that is most likely the list your non savvy competitors will be looking at come draft day. I think that ADP is too low for nonPPR, but for PPR league its insane. These two players can easily end up with a non significant separation in points, just like Jacobs and Ward shared last year. Add Jacob’s injury propensity to that and Bradshaw’s ADP looks even rosier. Bradshaw can be a savior for teams that grab a QB and TE early. Reach for him in the late 7th, early 8th as an RB3 that is just as good as those taken in the 5th and 6th rounds.
I don’t mean to discount Brandon Jacobs too much, but he’s not a first round pick in PPR leagues. Pass catchers like Steve Slaton and the stud WRs should push him down to the mid second round. The odds of Brandon Jacobs catching a pass in any game are about as good as Eli Manning not making five goofball decisions.
As the Giants RB3 last year Bradshaw managed 400 yards and 2 TDs. When Jacobs did go down Derrick Ward took over pretty much the whole workload. When Brandon Jacobs goes down this year it remains to be seen if the 5′9″ Bradshaw takes an every down role. Giants personnel are high on Danny Ware as the RB3. He will have limited success even when Jacobs and Bradshaw are healthy, but an injury could throw him into the spotlight on one of the league’s best rushing teams. Keep him in mind for your deep drafts. He’s not on any radars so you won’t have trouble grabbing him as an RB6.
